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February 4, 2010 by admin Leave a Comment

The campaign for high-profile California Senate candidate Carly Fiorina has released an attack ad against one of her Republican primary opponents that just might be the most bizarre in American political history, one that’s already being called everything from” terrifying” to” psychedelic.”

Watch the ad here: FCINO@Yahoo!Video

The three-and-a-half minute ad is aimed squarely at Tom Campbell, a former congressman and Stanford law professor, the Republican favored to challenge Democratic incumbent Barbara Boxer. It opens with a comforting female voice that says, “Wholesome. Honorable. True believers. Men like Tom Campbell, who would never lead us astray. His pedestal so high. “As she speaks, we see a sheep sitting atop a pedestal ascending high above the Earth. Farm animal in the sky aside, everything appears relatively normal up to this point, thirty seconds in.

But then the skies turn dark and lightning bolts flash, knocking the sheep from its high pedestal. As the image of the sheep fades from view, Tom Campbell’s face appears, accompanied by an ominous-sounding male who chimes in sarcastically, “Tom Campbell: fiscal genius?”

The male narrator then launches into a lengthy list of alleged Campbell political sins before cutting to a flock of sheep grazing innocently in an open field. In the middle of the sheep is what appears to be someone or something with bright red, demonic eyes disguised in a sheep-suit. The male narrator then goes in for the kill shot:” Tom Campbell: Is he what he tells us? Or is he what he’s become over the years? A FCINO. Fiscal conservative in name only. A wolf in sheep’s clothing.”(FCINO has popped up elsewhere as part of Fiorina’s viral marketing campaign.)

In response to the Fiorina campaign ad, Politico reports that the Campbell campaign issued a statement last night:

In an e-mail to supporters Wednesday evening, the Campbell campaign responded,” Carly’s ad likens fiscal conservatives to sheep, and Tom to a demon sheep, without mentioning a single federal issue or proposing a single solution to America’s economic woes.

“When you view the ‘weirdest campaign attack ad ever,’ you’ll know why it’s being called ‘clumsy,’ ‘over-the-top,’ ‘monstrous,’ ‘painful’ and ‘a source of ridicule for bloggers,'”wrote the campaign.

Fiorina�s ad joins an interesting clan of political ads employing the” scary animal”theme. Classics include Reagan’s” There�s a Bear in the Woods” spot from 1984, which seemed to be the inspiration for the Bush/Cheney” Wolves” ad twenty years later.

Be it “awesomely bad” or just bad, Fiorina�s ad has quickly achieved an indisputable � and enviable � accomplishment: a lot of attention. The “odd genius” of the spot, writes Michael Scherer in Time�s influential political blog Swampland, “is that it is so weird that you will click on it online, and bloggers like me will link to it. The message is delivered.”

Calls to Carly Fiorina’s campaign for comment were not returned. Released only as a web video, the ad also bypasses the” stand by your ad”message required of campaign messages which run on television or radio. While the video does note that it was paid for by Fiorina�s campaign organization, Carly for California, the candidate herself does not appear to offer the regular assurance that she approved the piece.

Update: Reached for comment, a Fiorina spokeswoman told Yahoo! News that the campaign is thrilled with the reaction to the ad and that they had hoped that it would” break through the clutter on the Internet”and start conversations. They didn’t, however, know who played the demonic sheep because the footage used was filmed years ago by the campaign’s ad maker.

November 23, 2009 by admin Leave a Comment

For our money, the best ads we’ve seen so far in the 2010 midterms are in Illinois for Republican gubernatorial candidate Andy McKenna. McKenna, a former state party chair, has featured the famous hair of disgraced former Gov. Rod Blagojevich (D) in each of his early ads — a symbol of the corruption and business as usual that has dominated politics in the state. McKenna’s new ad starts with an image of Blago’s hair atop the state capitol dome while a narrator details what Blagojevich — and, by extension, his successor Pat Quinn — have done to the state. McKenna faces a serious primary challenge from, among others, former state attorney general Jim Ryan but win or lose he has provided a potent blueprint for the GOP nominee to ensure voters don’t forget about Blagojevich next year.

November 12, 2009 by admin Leave a Comment

The “Blagojevich” bouffant ‘do, in full effect. GETTY

Not since the days of Nero has a haircut – the Caesar – been associated with political corruption so much as it is today with “The Blagojevich.” In Illinois, impeached governor Rod Blagojevich’s faux-bouffant is – rightly or wrongly – virtually analogous with cronyism, fraud and bribery.

In “Hair Today,” a short campaign film made on behalf of Illinois Republican gubernatorial candidate Andy McKenna, the connection is made – solidly and unambiguously. In the six-minute spot, Springfield, the state capital, is filled with state legislators, taxi drivers, mothers and babies, even the capital building – all of them topped with Blagojevich’s trademark ‘do.

The implication? For Illinois politics to move on out from its checkered past, people need to stop letting The Hair rule.

Fred Davis, CEO of Strategic Perception Inc., the ad firm that shot the commercial, came up with the concept by first wondering what the Illinois state capital building would look like with a bouffant. “It couldn’t just be Blago’s hair on the capital because the problem went much farther,” Davis said, referencing the numerous convicted politicians in the state’s history.

So indicted Illinois governors of yore are shown with Blagojevich hair in the film. Also: hundreds of extras who descended on the state capital for the day-long shoot. “We shot right in front of the capital for the whole day. Everyone in the scene was wearing a Blago wig and nobody reported it,” said Davis.

In the film, amidst the tornado of glossy hair enters Andy McKenna: outsider, honest, distinguished gray short-cropped locks. “Part of breaking with the past is laughing at it,” said McKenna, one of seven Republican hopefuls that will compete in this February’s primary leading up to a November 2010 election runoff against Democratic incumbent Pat Quinn.

McKenna, described by many as thoughtful businessman (he heads Schwarz Supply Source, a paper and packaging product supplier), knew he had to do something out of character to get attention. He turned to Davis, a veteran of Republican campaigns and the man responsible for the “Obama Celebrity” spot that garnered national attention during the 2008 Presidential campaign.

Not everyone has reacted positively or humorously to the spot. Patrick Campbell Sr., owner and proprietor of Campbell’s Hairstyling, a barber shop near the state capital building, cut the hair of Illinois governors Otto Kerner (convicted of bribery) and Dan Walker (convicted of fraud) when they were in office. “I don’t think it’s about the hair at all,” Campbell said. “It’s about the will of the people.”

The man whose mop-top inspired the film isn’t terribly pleased, either. Referring to the hundreds of replicas of his hair were made for this commercial, Glenn Selig, a spokesperson for the former governor said: “Had these replicas been made for a shampoo commercial or for a documentary on how he has helped millions of people in Illinois get healthcare, yes he would’ve been flattered. Given the context, flattered is not the word that comes to mind.”

In defiance of Mckenna’s message, Blagojevich isn’t visiting a new hair-stylist anytime soon. “He does not plan to change his hairstyle because of this,” the representative said. “Of course not!”

Now that he’s made his statement, McKenna wants to talk about the issues more than the hair. “The commercial makes a point, which is that we do have a culture of failure in Springfield,” he said.

But the hair will still play a role in Illinois politics and the upcoming election. During a speech announcing candidacy, McKenna took a moment to connect his opponent and Blagojevich through their hairstyles: “Pat Quinn said he would be different from Rod Blagojevich when he came into office, but when it comes to taxes and spending, Pat Quinn is Rod Blagojevich with a little bit less hair.”

July 23, 2009 by admin Leave a Comment

While it’s commonplace for candidates to run as far away as possible from the “gone Washington” label, lately more and more political consulting firms are embracing it.

Some firms have shied away from setting up shop in Washington, D.C., in order to maintain an outside-the-Beltway image for prospective clients. But several, especially Democratic, firms have bucked that philosophy recently and set up offices in the nation’s capital.

Fresh off back-to-back winning election cycles, Democratic consulting firms have found that a D.C. office can be a helpful tool in dealing with some of their top clients — who are now Members of Congress.

Dover Strategy Group, which has several offices around the country, found that without a D.C. office it was hard to offer its winning clients — such as Reps. Debbie Halvorson (D-Ill.) and Harry Mitchell (D-Ariz.) — services once they became Members.

“After the 2008 elections, we didn’t have a D.C. office,” said partner Mark Nevins. “We didn’t have the services needed to help those clients once they were elected. So we figured out we needed to expand our services to provide assistance to people who won.”

Dover hired a fundraising specialist, Meghan Gaffney, to help its Member clients with call time in the District. By the time another of their clients, Rep. Mike Quigley (D-Ill.), won a special election in April, Dover was able to help him with call time as soon as he arrived in D.C.

The Baughman Company, a San Francisco-based Democratic mail firm, put D.C. political veteran Achim Bergmann in charge of opening its national office in May. Now that the firm has done work for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s independent expenditure arm, it figured an office within walking distance of Democratic National Committee headquarters would be good for business.

“It’s efficient to have an outpost in Washington so, as people are coming through, it’s easy to have an avenue to reach them,” Bergmann said.

However, according to committee staffers on both sides of the aisle, having a D.C. address does not necessarily put a firm in a better position to get business from the party’s campaign committees or candidates.

“My guess is that it helps them marginally with candidates who come here so often, but it has almost zero bearing on us as far as committee work,” said a Republican committee staffer.

The staffer said the committees already have a strong opinion about which firms they would like top candidates to use, and location doesn’t matter.

A Democratic committee staffer echoed that notion, saying there are many good consultants both outside and inside the Beltway, adding that for campaigns it’s often “good politics to use someone from that state.”

“Geographically, it often helps because it is the center of the political universe to be in D.C.,” said the Democratic staffer. “At the same time, there are a lot of great consultants — and a lot of not-so-great consultants — out there in the field.”

California-based Strategic Perception is known for producing creative TV ads for Republicans, including Sens. John Cornyn (Texas) and Lamar Alexander (Tenn.), plus its work on several presidential campaigns. The firm’s chairman, Fred Davis, said he fought having a Washington, D.C., office for years because he liked his firm being associated with the creative film capital of the country — Hollywood.

“I always thought that one of our unique selling features was the fact that we were not constricted by the Beltway mentality and therefore our advertising would be more mainstream American and would be more Budweiser-like than typical political-like,” Davis said.

But in February, Davis caved in and hired Brian Nick, who was a top aide to former Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R-N.C.), to open and run the firm’s D.C. office. Above all, he said it helps to have someone in Washington who can network with potential clients and candidates after the workday is done.

“I don’t know another industry other than politics that places such an emphasis on what happens after 6 p.m.,” Davis said.

What’s more, because of campaign finance regulation changes in the past decade, there are more third-party groups based in D.C. who are looking for consultants, such as political action committees, independent expenditure operations and trade associations.

Adelstein-Liston is a Chicago-based Democratic media firm that had been known primarily for its work in Illinois, for clients such as Rep. Melissa Bean (D). But the firm branched out across the country in recent years, working for Reps. Suzanne Kosmas (D-Fla.) and Harry Mitchell (D-Ariz.).

This spring, Adelstein-Liston tapped Raghu Devaguptapu to open and run its D.C. office. With experience working at several Democratic organizations such as the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees, Devaguptapu knows firsthand that having a D.C. office is important when it comes to landing association clients.

“Much of the association work is based out of Washington, D.C.,” Devaguptapu said. “It’s advantageous to be here to work more closely with them.”

Alabama-based Democratic pollster John Anzalone recently hired a vice president to run his D.C. office because, he said, it was good for business — and business is good. With Democrats on a winning streak these past two cycles, Anzalone Liszt Research now boasts a client list that includes 21 Members and works with the DCCC, Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and the Democratic Governors Association.

“And then we became part of the [Barack] Obama polling team, and he won and there were all of a sudden even more opportunities beyond just candidate elections,” Anzalone said.

Aside from Davis, a handful of other GOP firms have also opened up shop in the District recently.

Erik Brown runs a direct-mail and consulting shop based in California, but he recently opened a D.C. office to expand his business to political causes in other states.

“We’re really going after constituent services, franked mail, and that sort of thing,” Brown said. “Having that point of contact opens up doors of opportunities to connect with PAC directors, trade associations, professional fundraisers and issue advocacy groups — people who need to get their message out.”

So far, Brown reports that his firm does franked mail for a couple of Members and two trade groups, the American Society of Anesthesiologists and a group representing ophthalmologists. He also said they have expanded to work on Congressional races in North Carolina and South Carolina and possibly New York this cycle.

June 4, 2009 by admin Leave a Comment

Barnes Running in Ga.: National Democrats scored a major recruiting coup in Georgia as former Gov. Roy Barnes announced Wednesday that he would run to reclaim his old office in 2010 when the seat is vacant. “I’ve listened and I realized that when I was governor before I didn’t do enough listening,” said Barnes of his upset loss in 2002 to then state Sen. Sonny Perdue (R). “I realize that I was impatient and that I had an aggressive agenda.” (Barnes was famously cast as “King Roy” by Perdue in one of the most infamous — and effective — ads in recent political history.) Barnes’ announcement drew immediate praise from the Democratic Governors Association Chairman Brian Schweitzer (Mont.) who lauded the former governor’s “knowledge and character”. Barnes’ entry into the contest will likely drive several other Democratic candidates out; before he announced, state Attorney General Thurbert Baker, former Secretary of State David Poythress and state Sen. DuBose Porter were declared.

March 13, 2009 by admin Leave a Comment

JOHN BRABENDER, CHIEF CREATIVE OFFICER, BRABENDER COX
FRED DAVIS, CHAIRMAN, STRATEGIC PERCEPTION
JULIAN MULVEY, PARTNER, DEVINE MULVEY
JOE TRIPPI, PRESIDENT, TRIPPI MULTIMEDIA

We weren’t quite sure what would happen when we invited four of the most explosively creative minds in political media to join us for lunch. But it turned out they had more questions for each other than we did. In the private dining room at Charlie Palmer Steak, Editor-in-Chief Christie Findlay and Senior Editor Shane D’Aprile just sat back and watched the sparks fly.

Check out what didn’t make the print edition: Read the full transcript of the conversation.

Julian Mulvey: So, Fred, you made possibly the most famous ad of the year— the Paris Hilton ad . I have to say, when I saw that I thought, “The campaign has lost it, they’ve completely come off the rails.”

Fred Davis: Had you been there, you would have known that we didn’t have any other choice. Obama is in Europe. He’s getting crowds of 200,000 people. We’re sitting around depressed and trying to figure out what in the world do you do to turn that against him. I happen to think Obama has turned out to be a pretty substantive guy. But at the time he was always with Oprah, doing things that were big and glitzy. It was a long ball and it could have just as easily gone the other way, but if it had we wouldn’t have been in any worse shape.

Politics: Did you have time to test it, or did you just have to run with it?

Davis: We literally did almost every ad in the campaign in 12 or 14 hours, so we didn’t have time to test it.

Politics: What was your reaction when you saw Paris Hilton’s response ad?

Davis: I loved it. That response was fabulous and so was the ad the Obama campaign did with Sarah Palin’s wink . I just adored that ad. It was the perfect ad at that moment. Of course, not all the McCain folks loved it as much as I did.

Politics: Julian, you had a client who ran with the Paris Hilton theme, didn’t you?

Mulvey: Well, we had one candidate out in California who was running against Brian Bilbray. We ended up producing this ad— a spoof of the Paris Hilton, John McCain ad . It flashed between Bilbray and Hilton and it opened with, “What do Brian Bilbray and Paris Hilton have in common? They both do absolutely nothing.” (laughter) The local press just loved it. And so near the end of the campaign we had enough money to run about 600 points of TV and we did this other spot with a four star Marine general talking straight to camera . He lambasted Bilbray for voting against the G.I. Bill of Rights and at the end he says, “Brian Bilbray, you should be ashamed.” We moved that race 17 points, and that’s when the DCCC got involved. We lost it by just 3 points in the end, but you can still move big numbers with TV.

John Brabender: If you guys had your choice, how many points would you put behind a spot now?

Mulvey: Well, back in 2000 if you were to run a spot really heavily it would be around 1,400 points. But now, and I’ve heard different people say different things, but we ran some spots up to 2,000 points this cycle just because of all the diffusion out there.

Brabender: In the past people used to get away with running 800 points behind a spot. Now, you run 800 points, and it’s like no one saw the spot. That’s why I say it’s getting harder and harder with the clutter out there because you do have to run more points behind the same ad today than you used to. The other thing is that this industry just isn’t where it needs to be creatively, and I think part of that is the “stand by your ad” disclaimer. That hurts creativity tremendously.

Davis: I had the joy this cycle of being able to complain about that to John McCain, whose name is on that law.

Brabender: And that seemed to have gone real far.

Davis: Yeah, it was a big hit. (laughter)

Joe Trippi: You know, one of the most interesting things we did on the Edwards for president campaign was after that big speech he did on poverty. Somebody had put up a response to his speech on YouTube saying, “You keep talking about all this work to solve poverty. Well, what have you done today?” It turned out that Edwards was working on a Habitat for Humanity house that day in New Orleans, so we went out and shot that, and at the end of the day he responded and said, “You asked what I did? Well, today I built this house for Habitat for Humanity, so tag you’re it.” And what that did was suddenly spawn a bunch of people on YouTube to respond and say, “This is what I did today, now tag you’re it.” It was remarkable that just that simple phrase at the end of his video created videos of other people doing the same.

Brabender: There’s so many dynamics out there. For the first time ever the 18- to-29-year-old spent more time online than in front of the TV, so just getting them is tougher. And I don’t think you can really move numbers with ads like you could 10 years ago. I run some ads and I think, “This is a really powerful ad.” And the numbers will move a little bit, but not a lot. It’s much tougher to move numbers with a good 30-second spot than it was 10 years ago.

Politics: And yet spending on web ads was still such a small percentage of overall budgets this year.

Brabender: There’s so many dynamics out there. But the percent of dollars spent was actually significant compared to four years ago. And look at Facebook earlier this year saying they were signing people up at 260,000 people a day. What other medium can do that right now?

Trippi: Think about if we had these tools when John F. Kennedy said, “Ask not what your country can do for you, ask what you can do for your country.” How many millions of Americans would have gone and signed up to help him pass his agenda?

Politics: One study this cycle found people who view a candidate’s online ads are already supporters. Do you guys think that online ads are just preaching to the converted?

Trippi: We’re in an age now where if five people send you the link to the Obama video and say “You have to watch this,” that has a lot more authority than the campaign saying that. And that’s going to start trickling down now to House and mayoral and other races.

Brabender: But the short-term problem is that you get some candidate running for supervisor that says, “I want to reproduce the Dean model. We’re going to raise all this money online and we’re going to have all this content online because people are going to care about my race.” The bottom line is people just aren’t there on that race. I know a couple of congressional candidates that spent ridiculous amounts of money online. Then they did post-election analysis and found nobody visited their websites.

Brabender: How often do you run into a candidate who saw a great ad and all they want to do is reproduce it?

Davis: That happened to me on an ad I did in the Schwarzenegger campaign. We did this ad against [Phil] Angelides where all of the visuals associated with him moved backwards , planes flew backwards, birds walked backwards. Then, when we talked about Schwarzenegger, everything moved forward. After that, every client would say, “Well, let’s do that forward and backward thing.” So I know exactly what you’re talking about, John. Never mind that I want to do something different, it’s “No, we don’t care about your creativity or doing something new and fresh, we want to do the same thing because it worked.”

Brabender: I did a pop-up video ad in 2000. Then in 2002, every candidate wanted to do the pop-up video ad. And it’s like, “I don’t want to do that ad again.”

Davis: Have you ever seen one of your ads on another media consultant’s reel?

Brabender: That I can’t say I ever have.

Davis: I have. It was in the 90’s. I won’t tell because he’s still in business, but I was a little shocked.

Brabender: It wasn’t even something you worked together on?

Davis: No it wasn’t, and when confronted with it by my attorney his response was “Well, we could do an ad just like that.” (laughter) I swear. And this is a substantial media consultant.

Mulvey: Isn’t there this whole development now where you have the completely fabricated man on the street ad? I’m thinking of the anti-Harold Ford “Call Me” ad . But it seems to me that once upon a time you couldn’t have had a completely fictitious man on the street ad.

Davis: Oh yeah, and that ad almost killed us. It’s a very good point, Julian, because I was doing the Corker campaign, and we went to incredible lengths to make him very credible, which he is. And then all of a sudden the RNC put that ad out. After that ad, we dropped like a rock again. I just think that was so over the top and so unbelievable. Have you ever had one where the guy you’re running against had done something so horrific that you couldn’t use it?

Trippi: Oh yeah, I had one of those.

Davis: I had one. He killed somebody in a car crash, it was almost Teddy Kennedyesque and we just couldn’t use it.

Mulvey: Because it was completely accidental, or was he drunk?

Davis:
He was drunk. And it got worse. I’ll get in trouble, but he got off of the charges in a very mysterious way, he pulled some strings and things like that. I still have that ad and we just never could run it.

Trippi: I had one where an opposing candidate had, in his private business, hired a 14- or 15-year-old kid for a job that OSHA requires a 10-year apprenticeship for because it’s so dangerous. Two days after the kid was on the job, he fell and was killed. So we tested the ad and it was, pardon the pun, deadly.

About a week before that ad was going up, I come into my office one day and there’s a script that’s been slipped under my door. It’s the script of the opposition candidate with the mother of the child who was killed talking straight to camera, saying how dare my guy use her son’s death for his own political gain. So then we go test that out. And if we put our ad up and they come back with that, we’re dead because the mom trumps our message.

So we decide no way in hell, we’re not using it, we kill the spot. About two weeks before Election Day, an ad goes up that says our opponent killed this kid. It’s an IE thinking they’re doing us a big favor. We had a 9-point lead and ended up winning the seat by half a point.

Davis: They meant well. IE’s, I think, are 50-50.

Brabender: I love doing them, though. (laughter) Have you guys run into a situation where the candidate gets obsessed about some piece of info they’ve heard on their opponent that you can’t prove?

Davis: I had this one particular case involving drug addiction. The client kept saying, “Fred, it’s true.” He tells me, “I’m getting a letter from the guy’s doctor. He’s out of town, we’re going to have it on Thursday but we have to run the ad today.” Eventually, against my better judgment, we ran it and it was not true, and it was horrific. My guy lost and probably deserved to lose.

Mulvey: That was the thing in 2000 where the Democrats really couldn’t prove that George Bush had used cocaine, but in testing it, they saw that it devastated Bush’s numbers. There was just no way to quite get there, from what I understand, though.

Brabender: I think that’s the first candidate we’ve actually named. I just want to point that out. (laughter)

Politics: Fred, you were saying you have some history with this private room at Charlie Palmer.

Davis: Yes, this was where we had our first media dinner for W in ’04, and we pretty much planned the entire media operation that night. That was one of the easiest races I’ve ever worked on. Everything was methodical.

Trippi: That year was just a very dysfunctional campaign on our side, so it should’ve been easy for you guys. The real campaigns where you see that kind of seamless organization at the top is when there really is somebody in charge. On the Democratic side we usually have the five cheeses, and it’s always been the Republicans, at least through the Bush era, who knew who the cheese was: Karl Rove.

It was the opposite way this time. We knew who was in charge of the Democratic campaign. It may have been two guys, Axelrod and Plouffe, but they were seamless. On the Republican side you had, for the first time in a long time, a question of who was really in charge.

Davis: Well, we looked at it and said, “There’s no reason John McCain wins.” And that’s when Steve Schmidt came in, Steve being a very good day-to-day tactition. That campaign became about winning every single day. What can we do today to win? I live on the West Coast, so at 4:30 in the morning I would hear what we wanted on the air that afternoon. Every day. That was a grueling process.

Brabender: What do you guys do if you’re stuck and don’t have an idea?

Davis: I toss it out to my other folks. Seems like somebody always has something. Nobody’s ever stuck at the same time.

Trippi: Sometimes it’s just sitting around with folks like you guys and all of a sudden you start kicking an idea around and it just keeps getting better and better. Or I go for a long drive. Every really good spot I’ve ever done was literally a lightening bolt that just hit me. Then I’ll immediately pull over and write it, and it’s 30 seconds. It fits perfectly and it’s like, “How the hell did that happen?”

Davis: I wake up with those crazy flashes every now and then.

Brabender: The only downside is when something hits you in the middle of the night and you say, “I have to remember this in the morning.” And then in the morning you remember and it really isn’t all that good. (laughter) It’s totally brilliant at 3 in the morning, though.

November 24, 2008 by admin Leave a Comment

A JOHN MCCAIN AD

What if the McCain campaign had run ads using footage of Barack Obama dancing with Ellen DeGeneres to show his coziness with celebrity? Or followed up on its Paris Hilton ad with others featuring Donald Trump and Jessica Simpson? All of that was on the drawing board of Fred Davis III, the advertising whiz that John McCain has used for almost all of his campaign media and one of the most talented conservative political operatives in America. Oh yes, he also had an Internet ad up his sleeve that would attack Obama’s celebrity by associating him with Oprah. But in the end, he scotched that one. “We decided you don’t really fight Santa Claus or Oprah,” he says, “so we removed her.”

In an extended interview with TIME, Davis detailed what might have been in the campaign ad war — and what self-censorship the McCain staff imposed on themselves regarding the issue of race. For most of the campaign, Davis functioned as McCain’s silent partner. While journalists hounded McCain’s senior campaign aides, people like Steve Schmidt, Mark Salter and Rick Davis (no relation), Fred Davis worked in the shadows. He designed and often wrote the scripts for the most stinging of McCain’s spots — the Web ad that depicted Obama as a messiah, the kindergarten ad that suggested Obama wanted to teach young kids about sex and the many others that questioned Obama’s qualifications for the White House. (See the best Obama pictures from the campaign.)

“My favorite ad of the campaign was as simple as it could be,” Davis said. “And it started out something like, ‘Long before the world knew of John McCain or Barack Obama, one of them spent five years in a hellhole because he refused early release to honor his fellow prisoners, while the other one wouldn’t walk out of a church after 20 years of the guy spewing hatred towards America.’ And the last line was, ‘Character matters, especially when no one is listening.’ ” The ad never ran, however, because McCain ruled the topic of the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, the preacher of Obama’s Chicago church, out of bounds shortly after he locked up the Republican nomination.

Good advertising men are almost always mischiefmakers at heart, the sort who don’t mind a little confrontation and who revel in a bit of controversy. And so Davis is wistful at the missed opportunities of the McCain campaign. “I made a list once, which no one will ever see, of all the reasons that my hands were tied on this campaign,” he says. “And I’ve never had a list this long.” One of his biggest struggles, Davis says, was to come up with negative spots against a historic, groundbreaking candidate without stepping on taboos. “One of the big hands that I felt was tied behind my back was [that] so many things — like [Obama’s record on] crime — you would logically do were perceived as ‘Oh, we can’t do that. That was playing the race card,’ ” he says, adding that the campaign created a whole series of crime attacks against Obama that were never aired. “Reverend Wright? ‘Oh, can’t do that; they’ll say we are playing the race card.’ [William] Ayers? For the longest time, ‘Oh, can’t do that. We’re playing the race card.’ ”

Davis says that concern about race played a major role in the entire aesthetic of McCain’s ads. The photographs of Obama that the ads used, for instance, which often showed Obama elongated and smiling, were carefully selected, he recalls. “We chose them with only one thing in mind, and that is to not make them bad pictures because bad pictures would be seen as racist,” Davis says. “How many shots in their ads did they use a John McCain [photo] looking decent and smiling?” He says the campaign also agonized over the music in the ads, paying special care not to play drum-heavy tracks that could be seen as an African tribal reference. “We were held to a totally different standard,” he says.

Nevertheless, the McCain campaign was unable to escape the charge that it was playing the race card. An Associated Press analysis called the campaign’s invocations of the once violent 1960s radical Ayers “racially tinged” because they evoked the word terrorist. McCain was also accused of playing on race for running an ad that highlighted Obama’s relationship with Franklin Raines, a former executive at Fannie Mae who is black. Says Davis: “I never saw anybody play the race card but the Obama campaign.”

Still, for Davis, it was an exhilarating if frustrating experience. In addition to the McCain account, his firm oversaw ads for five Senate races, including the hard-fought Elizabeth Dole and John Sununu campaigns. It was a career high point for Davis, who started in advertising at the age of 19, after his father died and he had to take over the family public relations business. At the height of the campaign, Davis, who is the nephew of Oklahoma Senator James Inhofe, oversaw nine edit shops, producing up to three spots a day, as well as the stage production for the Republican National Convention. “You wouldn’t know what tomorrow’s need was until tomorrow morning early,” he says. “And it needed to be out that day.”

By all rights, Fred Davis III should be living in a red state, a place teeming with clapboard churches, cowboy hats and gun racks. Instead, the Oklahoma native has chosen to live in sunny Santa Barbara, Calif., and has located his company, Strategic Perception, in sinful Hollywood. But he’s had to pay a price for it all. The neighbors haven’t exactly been friendly. Every day for about six months, he put a “John McCain for President” sign in front of his home. And almost every night it would be stolen. “I wanted to leave a note there and say, ‘You idiots don’t get it. I have an unlimited supply,’ ” Davis says, still laughing about it.

After the election ended, he participated in a panel discussion before a crowd of Hollywood bigwigs. He was met with disapproving grumbles when he was introduced as the guy who made McCain’s Paris Hilton ad. “It wasn’t a good evening really,” Davis says. As he was trying to leave the hall, former Seinfeld actor Jason Alexander confronted him. “He basically wanted to know how I sleep at night.”

Even with the limitations on his ads, Davis says he holds no ill feelings toward Obama. He says the McCain campaign’s plan, which was largely dependent on tactical attacks on Obama, was working well until the financial meltdown, which began to accelerate in mid-September. “You’ve got to look at it and say, my Lord, it was just Obama’s time. You know, his stars aligned right,” Davis says. “And I think he’s an incredibly gifted candidate. Let’s hope, and I do hope, and I hope I’m right, that he’ll be a very gifted President. And I hope he’ll rule from the middle. And I hope he’ll, you know, be inclusive of Republicans. And if he does those things, he could be one of the great Presidents in history.”

Such kind words for Obama may be surprising coming from the man who oversaw the media campaign to destroy Obama’s reputation. But Davis is not the kind of Republican operative who looks on liberals with personal animus. At the end of the day, he still has to live among them.

November 5, 2008 by admin Leave a Comment

The presidential race entered a critical three-day period in September when the economic crisis cast the candidates’ differences in sharp relief.

On Sept. 24, with financial markets verging on panic and the economy thudding, Democratic Sen. Barack Obama placed a call to rival John McCain. He wanted to suggest they issue a joint statement on proposed financial-bailout legislation. As hours went by without a return call, Obama aides emailed each other, asking, “Have you heard anything?” One answered: “The McCain camp is cooking up something.”

Later that day, Sen. McCain went before the cameras to say he was suspending his campaign to focus on helping craft the legislation. “What does that mean — suspend the campaign?” Sen. Obama asked his staff on the trail, according to aides. At a news conference in Florida, he said, “It’s going to be part of the president’s job to be able to deal with more than one thing at once.”

Beyond the economic tumult, troubles in the McCain camp had contributed to the Republican’s extraordinary move. These included a shaky performance by his running mate in a mock debate and an admonition to Sen. McCain by some major donors to quit blasting Wall Street and focus on solutions. Suspending the campaign, one McCain adviser recalls hoping, would let them “push the reset button.”

The next day, while conservative House Republicans maneuvered behind the scenes to block the bailout bill, Sen. McCain sat largely silent at a crisis summit at the White House. Afterward, Sen. Obama called his staff from his car: “I’ve never seen anything like this,” he said, according to several aides. “Some of the Republicans are clueless. Bush and I were trying to convince them.”

The presidential candidates were essentially tied at the time, a Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll showed, with Sen. McCain just a point behind. But in the next few weeks, as the handling of the economic crisis overshadowed all other issues, Sen. Obama opened a 10-point lead. Although Sen. McCain began to gain some ground at the end, he never fully recovered from the pivotal late-September juncture.

Sen. Obama’s recipe for victory, of course, had many ingredients: a record $640 million haul of donations, a vast network of campaign workers, his stance against the Iraq war, his success in portraying his foe as heir to an unpopular president. But after a total of roughly $1 billion spent by the two candidates over 21 months, the campaign came down to the unexpected.

For all the ads and debates and focus groups, voters also got a gut-check test of how each man would react to a crisis. Says Mark Penn, echoing an ad he had created for Sen. Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign about how presidents deal with emergencies: “The economy turned out to be the ‘3 a.m. call’ to the White House.”

How the candidates responded — Sen. McCain’s dramatic moves and sometimes-uneven temperament and Sen. Obama’s more analytical reaction and calm vibe — was a window into how they made decisions. And voters responded.

Mark Salter, a longtime confidant of Sen. McCain, said, “The markets’ collapse would have hurt no matter what we did, unless [Sen. McCain] had come out against the bailout” plan proposed by the Treasury, which many voters opposed as a rescue for Wall Street. “But he believed that would have been irresponsible and hurt the country.”

Heading into the general-election campaign in June, Sen. McCain had been in a good place. He had won the Republican nomination early enough to be rested and ready after the bitterly fought Obama-Clinton contest.

But in a strategy session of five McCain advisers — campaign manager Rick Davis, pollster Bill McInturff, strategist Steve Schmidt, ad-maker Fred Davis and strategist Greg Strimple — the back and forth revealed a fundamental problem. Fred Davis posed a question designed to give the campaign a central focus: “Why should we elect John McCain?” Tellingly, after several hours of debate, the five couldn’t reach a consensus.

“Without an overriding rationale, our campaign necessarily turned tactical rather than strategic,” one adviser recalls. “We focused more on why Obama should not be president, but much less on why McCain should be.”

By contrast, the Obama team hewed tightly to its original “framing theory,” says David Axelrod, its chief strategist, who had worked with the Illinois Democratic senator for years. “From the start, we defined this election as about change versus more of the same.”

At their Chicago headquarters, Mr. Axelrod and campaign manager David Plouffe set out “seven pillars” the campaign must do well: the vice-presidential choice, the convention, a European trip to meet with heads of state and the four debates. As an afterthought, he added, “Of course, we’ll have to handle the unexpected.”

Sen. McCain soon did the unexpected, picking Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate. The Obama campaign watched her rousing performance at the Republican convention and focus groups assembled to test the voter reaction. Obama advisers couldn’t believe what they were hearing. “Sarah Palin is one of us” was an oft-heard refrain. “She can help John McCain shake up Washington” was another common theme.

On his weekly strategy call with Democratic senators after the Republican convention in early September, Obama Chief of Staff Jim Messina began, “Let me walk you through this week’s events.” He was cut off by angry senators calling for a more aggressive response to the Republican running-mate pick: “Go after Palin.” “Define Palin.” “Make the race about Palin.” Mr. Messina was startled by the new nervousness in the party ranks.

In a Sept. 11 meeting in Chicago, Mr. Axelrod addressed his staff. They were worrying about a budding “Palin phenomenon.” They had downsized some scheduled events in reaction to her and to ads that painted Sen. Obama as a celebrity. But “this campaign gets in trouble when we do little things; we’re better at big things,” Mr. Axelrod said. “This race is about the economy and change. For everyone panicking, calm down.”

The next Monday, Sept. 15, Sen. Obama’s campaign opened with big rallies, overflow crowds and sweeping rhetoric, to the effect that a McCain administration would equal a third Bush term. “The large events got us back to our energy and momentum,” says senior adviser Anita Dunn. At the Colorado state fairgrounds in Pueblo, Sen. Obama addressed a crowd estimated at 13,500.

That same Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled more than 500 points, with Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. in bankruptcy court and other financial firms, such as American International Group Inc., struggling. On the stump, Sen. McCain sought to reassure voters. “The fundamentals of the economy are strong,” he said.

Sen. Obama attacked: “Sen. McCain, what economy are you talking about?” he said.

Sen. McCain fought back by slamming Wall Street for “reckless conduct, corruption and unbridled greed,” even saying he would fire the Republican Securities and Exchange Commissioner, Christopher Cox.

A worrying sign for the Republicans now arose: Gov. Palin emerged from seclusion and faltered in the few high-profile TV interviews she gave.

Behind the scenes, she and her husband weren’t entirely happy on the campaign trail, according to Republican operatives. Todd Palin expressed concern that overpreparation forced on his wife was part of the reason she was underperforming. He called McCain headquarters in Arlington, Va., with pointed questions about how they were isolating Gov. Palin from her own advisers and friends.

The economic turmoil then took center stage in the campaign on Wednesday, Sept. 24 — the start of a three-day stretch that proved pivotal. Congress was debating a bailout of the financial markets, proposed by the Treasury Department, costing hundreds of billions of dollars.

Sen. McCain and Gov. Palin were in New York for the United Nations General Assembly. In a hotel room, the Alaska governor went through her first mock debate. Word trickled out to a few Republican strategists that she wasn’t ready to face the political veteran Sen. Obama had picked for his ticket, Sen. Joe Biden of Delaware.

She also gave an interview to Katie Couric of CBS News that made some Republicans worry. In a rambling answer to a question about handling the economy, Gov. Palin said: “Ultimately, what the bailout does is help those that are concerned about the health-care reform that is needed to help shore up our economy to help, uhhh, it’s gotta be all about job creation, too.”

Meanwhile, Sen. McCain was meeting with Wall Street supporters such as investor Henry Kravis, J.P. Morgan Chase Vice Chairman James B. Lee Jr. and Merrill Lynch Chief Executive John Thain, who told him the global credit markets could “seize up” without definitive action. Some chided the candidate for attacking all of Wall Street and suggesting financial CEOs shouldn’t make more than the president’s salary of $400,000.

In Clearwater, Fla., that Wednesday, preparing for a first presidential debate that was two days away, Sen. Obama waited for Sen. McCain to return his call about a possible joint statement on the principles that bailout legislation ought to reflect. The Obama camp was getting antsy. Aides didn’t see any activities by Sen. McCain that would keep him from calling back.

In New York, the Republican spent the afternoon huddled with advisers Rick Davis, Mr. Schmidt and Mr. Salter and headed to the Morgan Library in New York to prepare for the approaching debate. Weighing how Sen. McCain should address the financial turmoil, the advisers offered three options, according to Mr. Salter: Keep your distance but monitor developments; be against the federal bailout package “because voters are;” or jump in to work on a government solution.

Mr. Schmidt suggested that the crisis presented a potential “leadership moment” for Sen. McCain: He could suspend his campaign and go to Washington to help negotiate bailout legislation. “If Kansas City blew up, you’d stop doing everything else,” Mr. Schmidt told Sen. McCain, according to one adviser. Such an out-of-the-box idea appealed to Sen. McCain, a man who likes to shake up the status quo, another aide says.

Around 2:30 p.m., Sen. McCain called Sen. Obama to say a joint statement might be appropriate, adding that they should consider suspending their campaigns and postponing the coming debate to work on congressional efforts to ease the crisis.

After hanging up, Sen. McCain went before the media. “I will suspend my campaign,” he said. He also said he and his Democratic counterpart should postpone the Friday debate to work on financial legislation being pushed by the Bush administration.

Obama aides were apoplectic. “This is a gimmick,” Communications Director Dan Pfeiffer told his staff. “It’s tonally off. There’s no outcry for the candidates to get involved. It reeks.” He ordered a press release saying Sen. Obama had made the first move that morning by calling Sen. McCain for a joint statement.

When Sen. Obama arrived at his Florida hotel, his top advisers gave him the news. He kept his usual calm, though puzzled and incredulous. “One of us will win and have to deal with the economy — and everything else,” an aide recalls him saying. He wasn’t budging on the debate.

Obama advisers told the University of Mississippi, the debate host, that their man would appear on Friday, with or without Sen. McCain. They explored converting the debate into a town-hall event if the Republican didn’t show up.

A McCain adviser, Sen. Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, raised the idea of moving the debate into the slot for the vice-presidential debate a week later. Some in both parties took that as a signal that Gov. Palin needed more time to prepare.

On Thursday, both candidates attended a White House meeting on the proposed bailout legislation. Even as they did so, conservative House Republicans were maneuvering to block it with an alternative plan. Sen. McCain said little at the White House meeting, which was inconclusive.

Then, on the debate issue, he blinked: He said that progress was being made on a bailout bill, and he would attend the debate. Though neither candidate had been able to prepare much in the last two days, both arrived in Oxford, Miss., that afternoon.

Minutes before the debate began, Sen. Obama confided to Mr. Axelrod that he was “nervous,” but after all of the debate over the debate, he wanted to get on with it. “Just give me the ball. Let’s play the game,” he said, according to Mr. Axelrod.

Polling afterward found that viewers thought Sen. Obama performed strongly. In the days following, his lead grew.

To several McCain advisers, Sen. McCain’s public show of dealing with the crisis by trying to broker a bailout deal between the president and Congress had fallen flat. “We completely blew it,” said one. “The execution of a potentially great move couldn’t have been worse.”

But Mr. Salter doesn’t think briefly putting the campaign on hold was a mistake. “Even if John hadn’t suspended his campaign, the unprecedented financial meltdown was going to help Obama,” he says.

When voters were asked in a Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll about 10 days later which candidate would be better at improving the economy, 46% said Sen. Obama and 29% said Sen. McCain. Asked which presidential ticket was doing better in debates, the respondents favored Obama/Biden by 50% to 29% over McCain/Palin.

While Sen. McCain struggled to recover, the Obama campaign kicked into high gear. Contributions poured in, adding up to $150 million in September. The campaign started airing expensive 120-second commercials so often that some worried they could be to the point of overkill, one operative says.

Obama field workers, mostly volunteers, reached nearly two million voters a week, according to national field director Jon Carson. The campaign already had deployed armies of lawyers to battleground states, after statisticians studying voter registrations predicted a huge turnout.

For their part, the McCain people worried about the potential for voter fraud. Campaign manager Rick Davis pushed for more attention to the voter-registration efforts of Acorn, a group allied with Democrats that was criticized for turning in voter registrations with fake names. “Hit this hard,” Mr. Davis shouted on one conference call with senior staff.

As Sen. McCain’s path to the Oval Office narrowed, some advisers wanted to bring up Sen. Obama’s 20-year relationship with his controversial pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright. Ad maker Fred Davis made a TV spot he wanted to unleash in the last week. It showed Sen. McCain as a Vietnam prisoner of war and then Sen. Obama with his Chicago minister, before switching to video of the Rev. Wright condemning America. It ended by saying: “Character matters, especially when no one is looking.”

The ad was never approved, because on the stump months earlier, Sen. McCain had committed to not bringing up the Rev. Wright.

On the McCain campaign’s last major strategy call, a dark mood prevailed as the campaign closed. The Arizona senator’s advisers lamented that everything that could go wrong did go wrong, at a time when some 90% of Americans were telling pollsters the country was on the wrong track. Suggesting that Sen. McCain would be blamed for anything bad, chief strategist Steve Schmidt said in his nasal voice, “There’s one event we forgot to plan for, the bubonic plague.” No one laughed.

As Democrats and pundits began predicting an Obama victory, his campaign wouldn’t tolerate the exuberance. A note on a bathroom door in the Chicago headquarters warned workers to remember how — when they were on a high after winning the Iowa caucuses — Hillary Clinton had shocked them with a primary victory. “If you feel giddy or cocky,” the note read, “I have two words for you — New Hampshire.”

Sen. Obama himself kept pressing Tuesday, with a final campaign trip to the swing state of Indiana. Back in Chicago, he did a batch of TV and radio interviews for battleground markets, then grabbed the satellite schedule from an aide and autographed it, adding a flourish: “That’s a wrap.”

October 8, 2008 by admin Leave a Comment

1. New York Times editor Bill Keller

2. Sarah Palin

3. Steve Schmidt

4. Washington Post legend Dan Balz

5. McCain adman Fred Davis

September 2, 2008 by admin Leave a Comment

ST. PAUL, Minn. — Just as he put the finishing touches on the Republican convention, McCain campaign adviser Fred Davis suddenly had to rip up his entire playbook for a last-minute addition to the program’s cast of characters: Gustav.

JOE FORNABAIO FOR THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
MCCAIN CREATIVE DIRECTOR FRED DAVIS.

With Hurricane Gustav hitting the U.S. Monday, Mr. Davis drastically altered the four-day “serial drama” he had developed to feature presidential candidate Sen. John McCain. Out: President George W. Bush and many Southern governors, who decided not to join the Republican hoopla with a potential tragedy looming, as well as half of the videos now deemed too “celebratory.” In: hurricane reports and even a hotline flashing on stage to raise money for victims.

“Please don’t let this look like a Jerry Lewis telethon,” Mr. Davis, a 56-year-old veteran producer of TV commercials and occasional concerts, was overheard saying to his team here charged with the new imperative.

The McCain campaign’s dramatic moves in recent days, which included adding Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin to the ticket, have helped shift the spotlight from the Democratic convention last week in Denver. Early polls gave mixed readings on how much of a bounce Sen. Barack Obama got from the Democratic convention.

Still, the moves carry high risks alongside possible high rewards. The choice of the little-known Gov. Palin has galvanized the party’s previously lackluster religious base, and jump-started Internet fund raising. But Sen. McCain also is drawing criticism, including from some Republicans, for choosing a politician with no national experience, and some Republicans are worried the choice could backfire.

The little-known Gov. Palin and her family are undergoing their first scrutiny from the national press. Monday, Gov. Palin disclosed amid Internet rumors that her 17-year-old daughter, Bristol, is pregnant and plans to marry the father. Reporters and opposition researchers are fanning out over Alaska seeking more information on the governor’s background and record.

The shift in the convention’s first day from a partisan event to a massive storm-relief campaign — complete with delegates assembling “comfort packages” Monday afternoon — gave Sen. McCain a platform from which to paint himself as a presidential figure above partisanship.

But it robbed the McCain campaign of at least some of the free prime-time exposure it planned to use to build up Sen. McCain and criticize Sen. Obama. Campaign advisers concluded that any show of partisanship or politicking would look crass against a backdrop of destruction on the Gulf Coast, and risk further evoking memories of Hurricane Katrina.

A point man for dealing with the fast-changing events is Mr. Davis, who has been a behind-the-scenes and controversial creative force for Sen. McCain. It was Mr. Davis who hatched the commercial that portrayed Sen. Obama as a fluffy celebrity like Paris Hilton and Britney Spears and asked whether the Democratic candidate is ready to lead. That commercial appears to have helped propel Sen. McCain’s surge in national polls.

The Obama campaign punched back with its own ad showing Sen. McCain schmoozing with TV stars. It said, “For decades, he’s been Washington’s biggest celebrity.”

Mr. Davis, the creative director for the McCain campaign, is in charge of managing the look and feel of the convention, including the planning of the program and the production of the videos shown here. With the hurricane looming, he was grappling to put Republicans in the best light for American voters and to show sensitivity to the hurricane’s potential devastation on American lives — an important task given the low marks the Bush administration received for handling Hurricane Katrina.

“Sen. McCain wants a simple convention reflective of his own style and the tough times we’re in,” Mr. Davis says. “No glitz.”

Hustling around the stage and meeting with politicians and stage hands here, Mr. Davis — with his feathered and graying long hair, jeans and black linen shirt and nickname “Hollywood” — could be mistaken for a band member of his friend Joe Cocker. In charge of the “branding” of the convention, the Hollywood-based producer designed a low stage down among the people, rather than towering above them, made for chatting rather than speechifying. He has eschewed the standard red, white and blue decor; instead the Republican elephant and logo are rust in color. Blue is banned from the logo.

Another new assignment for Mr. Davis: Create the video to introduce Sen. McCain’s running mate, Gov. Palin, at the convention. With Monday’s news about her daughter, filming was postponed, according to one aide. But Mr. Davis is familiar with Ms. Palin’s story, having done ads that portrayed her as “a fresh face, but one tough cookie,” that helped her win Alaska’s governorship two years ago, campaign aides say.

“Fred Davis is the most creative person in the business — period,” says Republican media consultant Mark McKinnon, who worked with him on President Bush’s re-election campaign and on the McCain campaign. Adds Dan McLagan, who’s working with Mr. Davis for this year’s re-election campaign of Sen. Elizabeth Dole, “There’s a certain feel and look to Fred’s ads that are outside the D.C.-insider box.”

It isn’t clear yet how Mr. Davis’s image-making will play out, though. Democrats and some Republicans have criticized Mr. Davis for going negative and focusing on petty issues. Even Sen. McCain’s mother, Roberta, remarked recently that the “celebrity” ads are “kinda stupid.”

‘The Talk of Denver’

“Democrats have no idea who Fred Davis is, but his commercials were all the talk of Denver,” says David Krone, a Democrat who has retained Mr. Davis for a corporate project and chatted with friends at the Democratic convention about the “celebrity” ads. “When Fred Davis shows up helping the other side, Democrats better take him seriously.”

Raised in Tulsa, Okla., Mr. Davis at 19 took over his father’s small public-relations firm when he died. Early on, he told corporate clients that if their ads weren’t seen and remembered, they wasted their ad dollars. For a local bank, he beat out the big agencies by showing how customers would have to travel downtown only once to pre-sign all documents, so the rest of the banking could be handled by phone. He created the slogan: “Fourth National Bank. You’ll Never Come Back.”

His break came when he moved to Los Angeles, and took over the account for B.U.M. brand clothing. On a gigantic Times Square billboard, he put a black-and-white photograph of Willie Gault, a football star at the time, showing him from behind without pants. With the slogan “Willie Gault left his B.U.M. behind,” the ad got national publicity and was featured on the “Today” show. Other clients included Citibank, Famous Amos Chocolate Chip Cookie Co. and Lowes Hotels. He also dabbled in film and television production.

In 1994, Mr. Davis entered the world of political advertising when his uncle, conservative Republican James Inhofe, asked him to rescue his campaign for the Senate seat in Oklahoma. His 30-second TV commercial depicting grizzled convicts in ballerina tutus and pink tights portrayed his Democratic opponent as soft on crime. It put his uncle in the U.S. Senate and Mr. Davis on the political map.

“Freddy transformed my campaign, because I wasn’t supposed to win,” Sen. Inhofe says. “I started recommending him to Senate colleagues facing tough races.”

‘Hollywood’

Mr. Davis, who jokes with friends that he’s the “last Republican standing in Hollywood,” tells them he is a fiscal conservative and social moderate. He gained a reputation for taking big chances in his media spots, and for living in a hilltop California home overlooking the Pacific Ocean and driving a Porsche. His professional and personal style stuck out among the more staid Washington crowd for whom he crafted ads, earning him the nickname “Hollywood” among Washington politicians.

For one of the most controversial ads, Mr. Davis, using all of his client’s budget, created in 2002 a commercial featuring a giant rat (representing the then-governor) plundering Georgia to attract attention for a little-known Republican candidate, Sonny Perdue. The ad turned out to be a turning point in Mr. Perdue’s upset victory. In the Kentucky Republican primary last year, Mr. Davis used an allegory of a boy being picked on in a schoolyard — a swipe at Democrats and the press picking on his client, Gov. Ernie Fletcher. Mr. Fletcher unexpectedly won the primary, but lost the general election.

In a 2006 Senate race in Tennessee, Mr. Davis mounted ads against the Democratic opponent of his Republican client, Bob Corker. Harold Ford, a young rising star from a Memphis political family who was raised in the nation’s capital, was gaining on Mr. Corker. Mr. Davis cut a commercial with Mr. Corker that went: “I may not be as good-looking, but I’m from Tennessee, he’s from D.C.” Mr. Corker squeaked out a win. (Mr. Davis wasn’t involved in a controversial ad that featured a white woman beckoning to Mr. Ford, an African-American, saying, “Harold, call me.”)

In 2006, Mr. Davis also signed on to help California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, whose campaign was being run by Steve Schmidt, now chief strategist of the McCain campaign. According to a campaign aide, Mr. Davis told Mr. Schmidt, “I don’t do normal. You’ll not see the usual headlines and charges in most political ads.” Instead, Mr. Davis created ads where everyone and every animal moved in backward motion when the opponent was mentioned, while images representing the governor’s ideas all moved forward.

Once Sen. Obama emerged as the Democratic nominee, the McCain campaign tried several approaches to attack him: painting him as a flip-flopper, unpatriotic and too liberal. Worried that Sen. Obama was dominating media coverage, Sen. McCain put Mr. Schmidt in charge of the campaign’s message, and Mr. Schmidt sought out Mr. Davis, aides say.

Change came fast. While watching the enthusiastic crowds for Sen. Obama in Europe, Mr. Schmidt pushed for a way to go on the offensive. He and fellow advisers brainstormed about turning Sen. Obama’s celebrity from a positive to a negative. Mr. Davis then created a commercial showing how Sen. Obama gets the same adulation and attention as Britney Spears and Paris Hilton, not known for substance. The ad broke through the “clutter,” and dominated news coverage. Says Nick Ayers, head of the Republican Governors Association, “The Schmidt-Davis combo proved powerful.”

Several more “celebrity” ads subsequently hit the air waves and the Internet. The second one used Charlton Heston’s Moses to scorn Sen. Obama’s lofty rhetoric. Each commercial asked if Sen. Obama was ready to lead, and lambasted his stands on hot-button issues from gasoline prices to tax increases. Sen. McCain suddenly received more “YouTube” hits than his younger rival Sen. Obama.

With Monday’s show thrown out the window, Mr. Davis and his team were deciding if any of the videos could be moved into another night. They were also watching news reports on the hurricane to determine whether other nights’ programming would survive or be scrapped.

After the convention, campaign advisers say Mr. Davis is already planning a new round of McCain commercials.

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